The Non-Obvious Trend Report Archive

2011 Non-Obvious:
The report that started it all

The first Non-Obvious Trend Report introduced Likeonomics, a concept that later became a full book, and was among the first to predict the rise of content curation, real-time customer service through social media, and the brutal transparency embraced by brands like Domino’s and Southwest.

Non-Obvious 2011 cover

The Story Of The 2011 Report

The Backstory +
Retrospective

The first edition of the Non-Obvious Trend Report focused solely on marketing and social media trends. The report used a 20-page visual style and included a short description of the trend along with three or four stories to illustrate each one. Despite its limited scope, the report quickly went viral when it was released, being viewed more than 100,000 times in the first several weeks of publication alone. Some of the most popular trends introduced many firsts. The report was one of the first to predict the Rise of Curation, a precursor to the explosion of content marketing, and Instant PR & Customer Care, the rapid growth of real-time customer service through social media. It also defined the related trends of Brutal Transparency, Corporate Humanity, and Employees as Heroes, which all demonstrated a deeper level of transparency and humanity in marketing campaigns. The most popular trend from the first report was undoubtedly Likeonomics, the idea that people choose to do business with people they like. That popular concept inspired a book of the same title, which I wrote and published the following year.

15 trends

The 2011 Trends

Addictive Randomness trend icon

Trend 01 · 2011

Addictive Randomness

Brands increasingly will use the addictive power of random content to engage consumers. This will lead to more campaigns where consumers can add content to a central archive to browse.

DTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

While this idea might still be used selectively in campaigns, it is a good example of the sort of trend that we predicted early on that really should have been nothing more than an ingredient in a broader trend.

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App-fication of the Web trend icon

Trend 02 · 2011

App-fication of the Web

As more innovative apps let consumers bypass the web for transactions and leisure, many activities from online banking to online shopping will shift to apps instead of the Internet.

DTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

Apps have grown dramatically, but the idea of doing everything through apps never happened. Instead, responsive design has made it more important to allow anyone to use any size screen on any device.

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Approachable Celebrity trend icon

Trend 03 · 2011

Approachable Celebrity

As social media allow direct access to previously unreachable celebrities, politicians, and athletes, we see more of their personalities, for better or worse, and can engage with them as real people.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

Using social media to directly engage famous people has become easy, but that ease has forced celebrities to find new ways to manage the volume, filter cyberstalkers, and make themselves less approachable.

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Brutal Transparency trend icon

Trend 04 · 2011

Brutal Transparency

Aggressive honesty will lead to edgier and more effective marketing as brands reveal this unexpected tactic that consumers welcome.

ATrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

The growth of social platforms and content marketing allows brands to share more truths about their business. While some may not be quite as "brutal," this honesty continues to build trust.

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Crowdsourced Innovation trend icon

Trend 05 · 2011

Crowdsourced Innovation

Brands turn to crowdsourced platforms to collect ideas from consumers in exchange for the reward of recognition, financial earning, and simply being heard by the brands they purchase from every day.

C+Trend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

The growth of platforms for idea generation to problem solving continue, but the original narrow brand-oriented focus of this trend failed to account for other types of marketplaces.

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Culting of Retail trend icon

Trend 06 · 2011

Culting of Retail

The best retailers create passionate users who not only buy products, but also rave about their experiences. They inspire their social networks to try for themselves.

ATrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

The rise of social media enables a continued cult-like belief in brands and a willingness from fans to not only spend money on products and services, but also act as an ambassador for the brand.

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Desperate Simplification trend icon

Trend 07 · 2011

Desperate Simplification

Information overload drives consumers to desperately seek simplicity, aiming for balance through activities such as defriending and finding basic products and sites to help simplify everything.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

While "infobesity" persists, consumers' need for simplicity gives way to tools that focus on optimizing or curating instead of culling friendships or content. This trend continues but with less desperation.

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Employees As Heroes trend icon

Trend 08 · 2011

Employees As Heroes

Brands of all sizes aim to prove their humanity by emphasizing employees as the solvers of problems and creators of innovation. Such stories anchor the company's mission in the world.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

This trend has expanded far beyond the tech firms initially featured as employees are increasingly valued in ads, showcased by brands with high loyalty, and seen as visible and important ambassadors for a brand.

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Essential Integration trend icon

Trend 09 · 2011

Essential Integration

Marketers' biggest problem continues to be integrating efforts, which can be hard with few good examples. Yet the biggest successes feature a new level of integration that is still rare in the marketing world.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

During the past four years, integration becomes an even greater issue and daily struggle for marketers. With more tools and platforms to assist, this has become less of a trend and more of a standard practice.

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Instant PR & Cust Service trend icon

Trend 10 · 2011

Instant PR & Cust Service

Real-time contact becomes essential as communications teams focus on instant PR to manage social crises and augment customer service with methods to deal with problems in the here and now.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

Customer service through social channels has grown dramatically, but today it is not solely driven by negative situations (as originally predicted) but rather used as a tool for positive engagement as well.

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Likeonomics trend icon

Trend 11 · 2011

Likeonomics

Brands, products, and services succeed by being more human, mission driven, and personally likeable through their policies and people, gaining an advantage over less empathetic competitors.

ATrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

The fundamental truth of human relationships underlying this trend keeps growing as more brands focus on building personal connections with customers and being consistently likeable.

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Locationcasting trend icon

Trend 12 · 2011

Locationcasting

More consumers choose to broadcast their locations, enabling brands to tailor messages to a specific site and create more opportunities to engage their customers in real life.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

Mobile marketing increasingly offers geotargeting options. However consumers continue to be wary of privacy concerns and worry about the potential for "geospamming" as they walk down the street.

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Reimagining Charity trend icon

Trend 13 · 2011

Reimagining Charity

Brands and entrepreneurs create innovative new models for social good, reinventing how people can do everything from donating money to sharing time and specific skills.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

This trend reflected a dramatic growth in how nonprofits and charities used digital tools. While this has continued, the efforts are more commonplace and less of a "redefinition."

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Rise of Curation trend icon

Trend 14 · 2011

Rise of Curation

Brands increasingly use curation as a much-needed filter to help find and bring together useful or entertaining content to win more trust and attention from consumers.

ATrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

This trend successfully anticipated the explosion of content marketing and the importance for brands to focus on sharing expertise generously online with their consumers as a way to grow trust.

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Visualized Data trend icon

Trend 15 · 2011

Visualized Data

To make sense of a real-time stream of information, more event managers, news organizations, and brands turn to visualization to leverage data, better understand it, and tell a clearer story.

BTrend Longevity Rating
Graded in 2026

The widespread overuse of infographics has created more skepticism of visualization, but better user interfaces, gamified design, and narrative storytelling continue to stand out and attract attention.

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The rest of the archive.

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